Medium Voltage Motor Drives Sales Flat in 2009, Projected to Decline in 2010

中壓電機驅(qū)動銷售2009年持平，預(yù)計2010年將下降

April 8, 2010 - The worldwide medium voltage motor drives market was estimated to be worth $2,175.1 million in 2008 according to IMS Research. This value represents an increase of more than 35% over 2007 levels, with much of the growth attributed to the thriving Chinese market.

4月9日消息——IMS Research的調(diào)查顯示，2008年全球中壓電機驅(qū)動市場預(yù)計為21億7510萬美元。這一數(shù)值反映了比2007年增長超過35%，而這歸根于中國市場的蓬勃發(fā)展。
 
The economic downturn that began in the second half of 2008 and lasted well into 2009 has had a substantial impact on the medium voltage drives market. IMS Research believes that total market revenues grew by only 0.7% in 2009, resulting in an estimated market size of $2,191.3 million during the year. Unit shipments were affected to a lesser extent, managing to increase by 3.2% over 2008 levels. The full effects of the downturn are expected to impact the market in 2010, when revenues are projected to fall by 16.2% and unit shipments are forecast to decline by 10.9%. The delayed effects are attributed to significant lag between bookings and billings, which resulted from order backlogs prior to the recession and long production times for these complex and technically advanced drives. The market contraction forecast for 2010 is caused by severe order declines in 2009, particularly in the metals, mining, marine, and cement industries. Together these four sectors accounted for more than half of all medium voltage drive revenues in 2008. Sales to the power generation and water & wastewater industries are the only ones forecast to grow in 2009 and 2010, driven by population growth, increased urbanization, and infrastructure expansion in developing regions.

始于2008年下半年、一直持續(xù)到2009年的經(jīng)濟衰退已對中壓驅(qū)動市場產(chǎn)生重大影響。IMS Research認(rèn)為2009年該市場總收入僅增長0.7％，全年的市場規(guī)模估計為21億9130萬美元。單位出貨量受影響的程度相對較輕，比2008年實現(xiàn)3.2%的增長。經(jīng)濟下滑的全面影響預(yù)計將在2010年波及市場，年度營收預(yù)計將下降16.2％，出貨量預(yù)計將下降10.9％。影響的延遲歸因于訂單和出貨之間明顯的滯后性造成的，因為訂單的累積在經(jīng)濟衰退之前，而且這些復(fù)雜、技術(shù)先進的驅(qū)動生產(chǎn)周期較長。預(yù)測2010年市場萎縮的原因是2009年訂單量的嚴(yán)重下降，尤其在金屬、礦產(chǎn)、海洋和水泥等行業(yè)。這四個行業(yè)在2008年合共占了中壓電機全部銷售額的一半多。預(yù)計在2009年和2010年實現(xiàn)銷售增長的行業(yè)僅有發(fā)電和水/污水，這是由于發(fā)展中地區(qū)的人口增長、城市化提升以及基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施擴展等因素推動。
 
China is now the largest regional market for medium voltage drives, accounting for an estimated 43% of total revenues and 58% of total unit shipments in 2009. Growth of the Chinese market has been remarkable over the past few years, and while it is expected to slow substantially in the future, the market is still projected to grow by an average annual rate of more than 13% from 2008 to 2013. The average selling prices of medium voltage drives in China are much lower than the global average because of intense price competition and the prevalence of drives with lower power ratings. The US and Western European medium voltage motor drive markets respectively represent approximately 14% and 9% of total revenues in 2009. These regional markets are projected to contract by more than 35% in 2010, as heavy declines in the regions’ industrial sectors result in much lower demand for medium voltage drives. Although the markets are expected to return to double-digit growth by 2011, they are not expected to recover to their 2008 levels until after 2013. Average selling prices are projected to decline by approximately 3.0% per year in the US and 3.8% in Western Europe.

中國目前是最大的中壓驅(qū)動區(qū)域市場，估計在2009年占了全球總銷售量的43%和總出貨量的58%。中國市場的增長在過去幾年就已經(jīng)非常顯著，雖然預(yù)計將在未來大幅放緩，但預(yù)計從2008年至2013年仍將以平均超過13％的速度增長。因為激烈的價格競爭以及對較低額定功率驅(qū)動的偏好，中國的中壓驅(qū)動平均銷售價格比全球平均銷售價格低很多。美國和西歐的中壓電機驅(qū)動市場分別約占2009年總銷售量的14％和9％。這些區(qū)域的市場預(yù)計在2010年將縮減超過35％，因為對中壓驅(qū)動需求的極大減少導(dǎo)致這些區(qū)域的工業(yè)領(lǐng)域跌勢沉重。盡管市場預(yù)期到2011年將重新實現(xiàn)雙位數(shù)的增長，但他們預(yù)計直到2013年之后才能恢復(fù)2008年的水平。美國每年的平均銷售價格預(yù)計將下降約3%，而西歐約為3.8%。
 
The leading suppliers to the worldwide medium voltage motor drives market were largely unchanged in 2009. Siemens is once again the market leader with 26.5% of total revenues, ABB is second with a share of 20.0%, and Converteam is third with 13.5% of the global market. All other suppliers had shares of less than 7% during the year. Two Chinese vendors, LD Harvest and Hiconics, with respective global market shares of 6.5% and 3.5% in 2009, reflect the recent rise of Chinese manufacturers and the rapid growth witnessed by the market in the country.

2009年全球中壓電機驅(qū)動的主要供應(yīng)商大部分保持不變。西門子再次以26.5%的市場份額獨占鰲頭，ABB則以20%的市場份額位居次席，而Converteam以13.5%的市場份額處于全球市場第三位。其他所有的廠商全年的市場份額都少于7%。兩家中國供應(yīng)商，北京利德華福電氣技術(shù)有限公司和北京合康億盛科技有限公司，在2009年分別占有全球市場份額的6.5%和3.5%，反映了目前中國制造業(yè)的提升以及中國市場見證了快速增長。

About IMS Research
IMS Research is a supplier of market research and consultancy services on a wide range of global electronics markets. The company is supported by headquarters in Wellingborough, UK and offices in Austin, Texas and Shanghai, China. IMS Research regularly publishes detailed research on medium voltage motor drives markets, among others.

關(guān)于IMS Research
IMS Research是為全球電子行業(yè)提供范圍廣泛的市場研究和咨詢服務(wù)的供應(yīng)商。英國的威靈伯魯總部、美國德州的奧斯汀和中國上海的辦事處為公司提供支持。IMS Research定期發(fā)表有關(guān)中壓電機驅(qū)動市場以及其他市場的詳細(xì)研究。